San Diego Real Estate Market Update - 2015 Recap and 2016 Forecast


Happy Holidays! Big news as Fed raises rates this week. 2015 price and inventory trends continue.
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Palm Springs, CA 92262
$1,378,000
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Attention all Medical Professionals! Welcome to www.
Thermal, CA 92274
$1,500
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Commercial building for Lease in the heart of the Salton City business area.
Thermal, CA 92274
$195,000
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To schedule an Open House or to request more information about this property, call Collins Coastal at (858) 252-0200.
Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
$325,000
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This is a rare opportunity.
Palm Springs, CA 92262
$8,800,000
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Great Income Property in Downtown Palm Springs with 10 CAP! Desert Sun Resort is a 33-room hotel resort sitting on a large 1.
Palm Springs, CA 92262
$850,000
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The purchase of the building is subject to and contingent on the purchase of the Practice.
Blythe, CA 92225
$685,000
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Rare opportunity for large retail space that you can own.
Palm Springs, CA 92262
$4,200,000
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Located in the heart of Downtown Palm Springs in the highly acclaimed and very desirable Uptown Design District.
Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
$749,900
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This is a must see building with 2 stories, great views, pave rear gated parking large enough for 6 to 8 cars with a carport for two.
Blythe, CA 92225
$119,000
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Commercial building for sale.
Hemet, CA 92543
$699,000
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Phenomenal Opportunity to own a Large Multi Unit Commercial Income Producing Property directly across from the Hospital! Best location you can ask for with a great buying CAP rate just under 5%, long ...
Needles, CA 92363
$8,760,000
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This gated community features incredible lake views, easy off-road access, resort style club house, pool, spa, putting green and full gym.
Blythe, CA 92225
$238,900
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Investor's delight , This multi use property has it all .
Blythe, CA 92225
$199,800
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Currently being used as a welding and machine shop.
Yucaipa, CA 92399
$5,200,000
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Welcome to www.
El Centro, CA 92243
$325,000
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Great opportunity to buy, income-generating property located along Highway 86 with an estimated 6.
Mentone, CA 92359
$995,000
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Welcome to Heska's Sugar Shack, a beautiful Mission Revival style to house your next investment property.
Cathedral City, CA 92234
$2,525,000
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OUTSTANDING OPPORTUNITY to own this one of a kind 'multi-use' STUNNING PROPERTY on Kieley Road in Cathedral City.
Whitewater, CA 92282
$200,000
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To schedule an Open House or to request more information about this property, call Collins Coastal at (858) 252-0200.
Idyllwild, CA 92549
$975,000
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The Courtyard building located in the picturesque town of Idyllwild 5,400 feet high in the beautiful San Jacinto Mountains.


​​​​​​​Transcript:

Hi everybody, John Collins, San Diego Realtor. Brining you the December market update, but really a look at , San Diego's realestate market as a whole, and then looking forward to , what we might expect. I'll also be talking about the big news, which was just yesterday the Fed, after close to a decade, just raised the interest rate for the first time in that length of time. And, what that means for buyers and sellers, we'll talk a little bit about that.

Now, has been a good year, and looking forward, is probably going to be a pretty good year as well. Values from January tonow, across San Diego County, the median price is up close to eight percent. So that's great, obviously. Now, inventory on the other hand is low, it has been low. We saw the typical increase during the busy moths of the summer but it's always been lower than normal and right now it's down about twelve percent from where it was at the beginning of the year. So that's going to continue to keep demand high, obviously, and prices, that's an upward pressure on price.

Some of the indicators going forward are good. New construction is up, largely multi-family homes, which is going to be really the future trend for homes in San Diego. But all this is good. The Fed rate increase, what they said is that they are going to now increase the interest rate from basically zero, where it's been for a long time, they're going to increase it a quarter to half a percent. Now, while that doesn't directly relate to the mortgage rate, how much it's going to go up, it's not a one for one increase, but that is an upward pressure on the mortgage rate so we'll see
how those start creeping up. Now, it's not a big increase and it's not going to create a huge difference right away, but this is a strong indicator that things are going to continue to go up over time. We've been at just crazy low rates for so long. People are used to three and a half or four percent, and really, historically, that is just so low. On a year average, seven or eight percent really is closer to the norm. And, so, while we won't be seeing that anytime
soon, I'm happy to say, it is reasonble to expect a couple of percent over the next year or two years, it's not crazy to think. That really does eat into the buying power of buyers and it creates a smaller segment of people for sellers who can afford their home, so this is an important thing to pay attention to going into .

That said, growth is anticipated to continue through . As a state, they are looking at three to four percent. Probably, that's what they're predicting. But, real estate is a cyclical thing, so it will not keep going up forever. The good news is that with this relatively slow and steady growth over time we can expect the adjustments to be a lot more palletable than what we saw in the Great Recession, which was obviously a great catastrophe.

Now, San Diego itself is a great market to be involved in. It was just identified by Realtor.com as the third hottest market in the country. Now that's based on activity and values and where they expect that to go. They're very bullish on this market for the coming year. So, that's great news.

I hope this is information that is useful to you and gives you confidence in the coming year. I know in this day and age it's hard to know what's going to happen next and the good news is that things are looking great for San Diego Real Estate in the coming year. If there are questions I can answer for you, please don't hesitate to reach out to me. Let me know. I really welcome the opportunity to help. In the mean time, I hope you have a great day, Happy Holidays, Happy New Year. Enjoy this time and this gorgeous city we live in, America's Finest City, and I'll look forward to talking to you soon. Take care.

John Collins

John Collins

DRE# 01948188
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